Professor Speed, do you believe that providing Dr. Weir's frequencies without providing error rates in this case is misleading?
Now, Mr. Harmon asked you a couple of questions about--about your position on assumptions. Do you recall that?
Okay. And about certain things being mainstream and not being mainstream. Do you remember that?
Okay. Do you believe, sir, that your views on the necessity of relying on external blind proficiency tests to produce error rates for forensic DNA profiling is mainstream or minority position?
I think in this situation I'm very much in the majority. I hardly know another statistician who is knowledgeable about statistics and DNA profiling who doesn't think that.
KEY QUOTENow, remember when Mr. Harmon put up a picture of the Bronco stains, item 303, 304 and 305? Would you turn that on again, please. I meant the flow chart.
All right. And he was pointing out to you that these stains did not have the same common point of--common point of origin as did the Bronco--the Bundy blood drops. Do you recall that?
Now, do you see, by the way, on this sheet, where it states that the bloodstains for 303, 304 and 305 were actually collected on August 26th, 1994?
Now, even though they may have no common mode of error with the Bundy drops, is it conceivable, from a statistical standpoint, that 303, 304 and 305 may have their own common mode of error?
Well, it has been asserted in this case--let me ask you a hypothetical. Assume that there has been testimony that these stains had been in the car, in the Bronco, for two months prior to their collection and assume that during those two months there were numerous unauthorized persons entering the Bronco or had access to the Bronco.
If an error happened during that two-month period, approximately two-month period, is that the kind of error which you described earlier as a common mode of error?
It is stretching the definition somewhat, but it captures the essence, that it is something that is common to those samples before they received their separate analyses, which in this case I assume were consistent.
KEY QUOTEYou mention you haven't quantified the error rate for forensic DNA profiling; is that correct?
But have you made suggestions to the appropriate bodies on how that error rate could possibly be quantified?
I have. I have written a letter to the national research council relating to the update or the second volume of this and of course I have simply echoed in a little more detail the sentiments in the first one.
Finally, the Prosecutor asked you whether or not you had called Dr. Weir before you testified today and you said you hadn't. And you mention that you had been consulting or working with using your expertise, your time and your effort to assist the Defense or to explain things to us, since September of 1994. Did Dr. Weir, prior to his taking the witness stand here, call you to discuss his positions?
No, he didn't. I think we are both a little uncomfortable about being on opposite sides in this issue.
KEY QUOTEI think in this situation I'm very much in the majority. I hardly know another statistician who is knowledgeable about statistics and DNA profiling who doesn't think that.
It is stretching the definition somewhat, but it captures the essence, that it is something that is common to those samples before they received their separate analyses.
No, he didn't. I think we are both a little uncomfortable about being on opposite sides in this issue.